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:: ElectionWatch Links

PoliticsWatch Exclusives

> Parties
> Leaders' bios
> Vote Selector Quiz 2004
> Vote Selector Quiz 2000

Results

Seats

135

   99

54

19

Other      1

0

Popular vote

36.7%

   29.6%

15.7%

12.4%

4.3%

By Riding

> Elections Canada statistics

The Media

> Toronto Star - Federal Election '04
> CPAC - Vote 2004
> CanWest - Decision
Canada

> Canoe - Canada Votes

> CBC - Canada Votes  

> CTV - Election 2004

> Globe and Mail - Decision 2004

Blogs

What are blogs? A blog is short for "Web log." Blogs are online journals that mix what is happening in a person's life and what is happening on the Web. People maintained blogs long before the term was coined, but the trend gained momentum with the introduction of automated published systems, most notably Blogger at blogger.com. 

Media Blogs

In Canada, there is a growing number of political  journalists and pundits who are augmenting their print work with blogs of their personal insights on breaking news or to post links to other articles which they feel warrant attention. There are three bloggers who are considered among the most  popular and influential bloggers in the political community -- Andrew Coyne, Warren Kinsella and  Paul Wells -- who have regular political blogs. And now the Globe and Mail and CanWest are allowing their campaign reporters to blog during the election campaign. 

> Andrew Coyne
> Warren Kinsella

> Paul Wells

> National Post editorial board
> Globe reporters unwired

> Anne Dawson

> Don Martin

> Susan Riley

> Bill Curry
>
Andy Riga
> Adam Radwanski
> Blog Polyscopique

Political Blogs

While Paul Martin had a blog during his Liberal leadership race, the PM is not posting for the election campaign. None of the other party leaders are posting either, but the Harper campaign does have an unnamed blogger on its bus.

> Harper Campaign Bus Blog

Download the Platforms (PDF)

> Liberal
> Conservative

> NDP

> Bloc

> Green

Youth

> Apathy Is Boring
> Rush The Vote

> MuchVote 2004

Odds and Ends

> Betfair Odds for Federal Election
> Shorcan Election Index Indicator

> Contact PoliticsWatch





:: ElectionWatch 2004

And the winner is ....

Capt. Paul takes a victory lap after winning the race for 24 Sussex. 

OTTAWA - Paul Martin and the Liberals eked out a win but fell 20 seats short of a majority, in an election campaign that saw negative ads, name calling, mudslinging and resulted in a record low voter turnout of 60.5 per cent.

The Liberals defied the pre-election-day  polls showing they were neck and neck with the Conservatives and won 36 more seats than the Tories' 99.  

Some are saying the difference was a large, last minute shift of NDP voters to the Liberals across the country. 

Despite the victory, the Liberals were dented badly, losing 34 seats and five cabinet ministers, including the Defence Minister, David Pratt. And despite the loss of seats in Quebec, the Liberals performed strongly in Ontario, winning 45 per cent of the popular vote and 75 of the province's 106 seats. 

Ontario's decision to back the Liberals in large numbers was the difference between a Conservative minority and a Liberal minority. The Conservatives won 24 seats in the province, which is 20 seats more than they had going into the election, but still not the gains many were predicting before election day.  Credit is being given to the Liberals' efforts to paint the Conservatives as a socially conservative party for hurting the Conservatives in urban Ontario, where the Tories were shut out of seats in Toronto and won just one in Ottawa. The trend was similar in urban areas in Quebec, Manitoba and British Columbia as well.

Although they gained votes and seats, the NDP also failed to meet expectations, winning 19 seats. Another seat would have given NDP Leader Jack Layton enough to create a majority when combined with the Liberals' 135. For now, the Liberals will have to work with two other parties, not just the NDP, when they want to get something through the House.   

The Bloc Quebecois is the only party to meet expectations and emerge stronger after election day. The Bloc won 48.8 per cent of the popular vote in Quebec, which translated into 54 of the province's 75 seats. The 54 seats matches an all-time high for the Bloc, reached in 1993 when Lucien Bouchard became leader of the Official Opposition. The Bloc appears to have hit its ceiling in terms of support and seats and is probably in no rush to return to the campaign trail as their influence in Ottawa may never be greater.  

The prime minister remains the prime minister. Finishing second to Stephen Harper and the Conservatives could have been a fatal blow to Martin's long campaign to be prime minister. And even though Martin doesn't have a majority, he believes that is a minor problem and last week compared his situation to that of former prime minister Lester Pearson, who lead two minority governments in the 1960s, and former Ontario premier Bill Davis, who also did not have a majority for a five-period in the 1970s. With no coalition with other parties, Martin must now perform a delicate balancing act, seeking support from the Bloc and the NDP on some items -- Kyoto -- while seeking support from the Conservatives on others -- missile defence. The last minority federal government in Canadian history - Joe Clark in 1979 -- lasted nine months and was defeated in the following election. With the high level of political animosity in Ottawa over the past year it will be interesting to see how long Paul Martin's minority government will last and whether he is more like Lester Pearson or more like Joe Clark.     

POLITICSWATCH ELECTIONWATCH 2004 HIGHLIGHTS

The aftermath: No majority, no problem: PM says he has a mandate and won't cut any deals; will test confidence "in due time"
 (June 29, 2004)

Prime Minister Paul Martin says he has already spoken with Governor General Adrienne Clarkson but did not say when he will test if he has the confidence of the House, saying he will recall Parliament "in due time."    

The result: Martin gets his mandate, but  Layton gets pull; Ontario comes through big time for the Liberals
 (June 29, 2004)

Prime Minister Paul Martin says he's received Canadians' message and promised the Liberals will do better after voters stopped the Liberals from winning their fourth majority government. The Conservatives failed to breakthroughs in Ontario, and the NDP, even though they did not win the 40 seats they were targeting, are elated with the results as they now hold the balance of power. Green Party shut out. 

PoliticsWatch election editorial: A message to the youth of Canada: Darwinian Democracy and why your vote counts
 (June 28, 2004)

PoliticsWatch.com has decided to publish a rare editorial for today's election. But instead of endorsing a party or candidate, we are endorsing democracy. 

The home stretch feature: It's down to the wire! ElectionWatch 2004
 (Updated June 22, 2004)

It's neck and neck in the homestretch between Paul Martin and Stephen Harper . Our special ElectionWatch 2004 page gives you an overview of the race for 24 Sussex to date and provides the links to all kinds of voter information, the big media outlets, and the best political blogs. 

The debate: Martin sandwiched by wedge issue
 (June 16, 2004)

In a microcosm of the English-language debate, Prime Minister Paul Martin had to fend off attacks from Jack Layton and Gilles Duceppe on where he and his party stands on same-sex marriage.  

The war rooms: A debate blow-by-blow from the party war rooms
 (June 15, 2004)

See what its like to be a political reporter's BlackBerry, as PoliticsWatch gives you an overview of the Liberal, Conservative and NDP electronic spin machines in action during the French-language leaders' debate. 

The platforms: Tory platform demands better and $58B
 (June 5, 2004)

The Conservatives released their platform today with a cost of an additional $58 billion in spending and tax cuts over the next five years.  

Liberal platform looks to move Canada forward
(June 3, 2004
)

Prime Minister Paul Martin unveiled a Liberal Party platform in Windsor today that focuses on social spending, such as child care, but has a price tag of just between $26 and $28 billion over five years. The Conservatives will release their platform Saturday.   

NDP Leaves Grits, Tories behind
with platform 
(May 26, 2004)

While the NDP is promising a Canada where no one is left behind, today it left behind the two other national parties in releasing its election platform, which calls for cutting tuition fees and restoring the federal commitment to health-care spending to 25 per cent while at the same time balancing budgets. 

:: PoliticsWatch Election Archive

> Layton holds balance of power (June 28)
> Liberal minority predicted by network (June 28)
> Liberals make gains in Atlantic Canada (June 28)
> Liberals come out strong in Atlantic Canada (June 28)
> Second in seats? Just watch what Trudeau did (June 25)
> You just never know (June 25)
> Campaign Nuggets: Liberals turn on Tony (June 25)

> Clarkson's PM picking role could come under scrutiny (June 24)

> Accused of clinging to power, PM says most seats win the election (June 23)

> Accused of clinging to power, PM says most seats win the election (June 23)
> Campaign Nuggets: Paul Who? (June 23)
> Campaign Nuggets: Reynolds wants lumber investigation (June 22)
> Campaign Nuggets: McLellan backs elected Senate (June 21)
> What a Harper cabinet might look like (June 18)
> Campaign Nuggets: Leaders rock the vote (June 17)

> Martin sandwiched by wedge issue (June 16)

> Campaign Nuggets: Checking the Reality Check (June 16)
> Duceppe wins French debate (June 15)
> A debate blow-by-blow from the party war rooms (June 15)
> Pressure on Martin in debates (June 14)
> Campaign Nuggets: Martin's Mulroney comments (June 14)
> Campaign Nuggets: Layton borrows from Bush (June 11)
> Harper crowd jeers Press Gallery (June 10)
> Campaign Nuggets: Chretien voting Liberal (June 10)
> PM's notwithstanding comments (June 9)
> Campaign Nuggets: NDP feature Bush (June 9)
> Tory platform demands better and $58B  (June 5)

> Liberal platform looks to move Canada forward (June 3)
> Harper's Bay Street Bargain (June 2)

> Martin blames Liberal "incidents" for drop in polls (June 1)

> Layton puts homeless on front pages (May 28)

> Terror on the campaign trail (May 27)

> NDP Leaves Grits, Tories behind with platform (May 26)

> Networks take to the road for campaign 2004 (May 21)

> Liberals attack Harper's math (May 21)
> NDP avoids mudslinging in new TV ad (May 20)
> View the NDP ad
> Grits go negative, Tories respond (May 19)
> View the Liberal ads and the "Harper said" site
> View the "Team Martin said" site 
> I need Quebec: PM (May 14)
> Liberal ministers hawkish on Iraq once upon a time (May 14)
> Grits go negative on NDP and Bloc (May 13)
> PM attacks "vile" Liberal polling practice (May 12)
> John Turner backing Harper (May 7)
> No attack ads here, say Liberals (May 5)
> The Joe Who Factor (April 30)
> PM recycles military spending plans (April 14)
> A question of timing (April 12)
> Martin says his Grits are different (March 3)
> Layton stars in new NDP TV ads (Feb. 26)
> Liberal MPs ready to go to the polls (Feb. 25)
> Martin lampooned in new Tory ads (Feb. 24)
> Listen to the Conservative radio ads
> Opposition says bring on election (Feb. 23)

© PoliticsWatch 2004. All rights reserved. Republication or redistribution of PoliticsWatch content, including by framing, copying, linking or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Public Interests Research and Communications Inc. PoliticsWatch is registered trademark of PIRCINC.

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